AGP Executive Report

Ebola Response Reality Check: The DRC Ebola outbreak is moving fast, but no vaccine is available for the Bundibugyo strain driving the deaths—officials say the best candidate could take 6–9 months to manufacture, while the immediate focus is treatment centers and case detection amid militia-linked access problems and funding cuts. Sudan Humanitarian Pressure: In parallel, Sudan’s war continues to generate new trauma and displacement, including reports of children born from rape during the conflict, underscoring how violence is reshaping the next generation. Red Sea Tensions: Ethiopia again accuses Egypt of blocking Red Sea access, keeping the Nile-and-maritime dispute simmering. Energy Corridors Push: Türkiye is pitching new oil, gas, and electricity routes to reduce reliance on chokepoints as instability grows. Regional Finance Moves: Kenya’s Nairobi Securities Exchange lists its first infrastructure fund to fund projects via tradable securities, aiming to cut reliance on costly external borrowing.

Sudan War & Humanitarian Fallout: A rights group says a drone strike killed 28 people at a market in Sudan’s West Kordofan, underscoring how fast violence is spreading beyond front lines. Ebola Response in the Region: Global health agencies are racing to contain a worsening Ebola outbreak in eastern DR Congo linked to the rarer Bundibugyo strain, with no approved vaccine or treatment yet and experimental options under review. Red Sea Power Struggle: Ethiopia accuses Egypt of obstructing its Red Sea access just after Egypt signed maritime cooperation with Eritrea—another reminder that ports and shipping routes are becoming political battlegrounds. Global Conflict Toll: The UN warns civilians are being killed at staggering rates worldwide, with Sudan named among the worst affected. Health & Trade Shock from Hormuz: WHO and UN-linked reporting highlights how disruptions around the Strait of Hormuz could ripple into food and medical supply crises.

Ebola response ramps up: As the Bundibugyo strain outbreak in eastern DRC worsens, WHO says there are no approved Bundibugyo vaccines or treatments yet, while global teams race to test experimental options and fast-track emergency use. US adds a new experimental tool: Reuters reports US HHS is working with San Diego biotech Mapp Biopharmaceutical to supply an investigational monoclonal antibody for people at high risk, with lab data suggesting possible activity against Bundibugyo. Hormuz pressure threatens food and fuel: UN/FAO warnings tie Strait of Hormuz disruption to a potential global food price shock within a year, starting with fertilizer and energy costs. Sudan conflict hits civilians again: A drone strike in West Kordofan’s Ghubaysh market killed 28 and left dozens wounded, underscoring how war keeps disrupting local supply lifelines. Regional diplomacy continues: Ethiopia accuses Egypt of obstructing its Red Sea access after Egypt’s maritime deals with Eritrea.

Sudan War Update: A drone strike hit a crowded market in Ghubaysh, West Kordofan, killing 28 people and leaving dozens wounded, as the conflict keeps tightening around civilian lifelines like food and supply hubs. Humanitarian Toll: The UN says civilian deaths in armed conflicts reached a grim pace in 2025—one killed every 14 minutes—while violations, sexual violence, and siege-driven hunger spread across multiple wars. Ebola Response: As an Ebola outbreak worsens in central Africa, the US is working with a small San Diego biotech to supply an experimental antibody for high-risk exposure, with WHO warning about the outbreak’s “scale and speed.” Regional Power Plays: Iran’s Hormuz control is deepening through island checkpoints and passage fees, while shipping firms in Dubai weigh relocating as routes and risks shift. Diplomacy & Industry: Türkiye hosted Sudan’s PM for talks on restoring normalcy and boosting cooperation, as Sudan’s war continues to disrupt recovery and investment.

Ebola emergency escalates: WHO says the Congo outbreak is moving fast, with “scale and speed” driving new alarm as suspected cases and deaths climb and scientists race to launch trials for Bundibugyo Ebola treatments and possible vaccine options in DRC and Uganda. Gaza care ramps up: A new international initiative will deliver advanced care for 1,000+ wounded Palestinian children, including paediatric amputees, as Gaza’s health system remains overwhelmed. Hormuz pressure grows: Strait of Hormuz transit traffic reportedly more than doubled amid Iran’s tightening control, while Iran also threatens fees over submarine internet cables—raising risks for both oil and digital supply lines. Sudan-linked logistics and recovery: Qatar Airways says it will expand Africa routes and start a new Port Sudan service in July, while Khartoum’s return-to-life remains uneven as some districts stay deserted and power shortages persist. Sudan hunger backdrop: UN-linked reporting continues to warn acute food insecurity is still gripping millions.

Ebola Emergency: WHO has declared the Congo outbreak a public health emergency, warning of “scale and speed” as deaths top 100 and suspected cases surge, with the rare Bundibugyo strain complicating response and delaying detection. U.S.-WHO Tension: The WHO says it’s not blaming the U.S., but Trump’s earlier pullout and unpaid dues have left global surveillance strained—now the U.S. is funding up to 50 treatment clinics in Congo and Uganda. Sudan Recovery Watch: In Khartoum, rubble is being cleared and some shops reopen, but displaced families are returning cautiously and electricity shortages still shape daily life. Gulf Pressure on Sudan’s Neighbors: Iran’s wider campaign is rattling UAE and regional security, while Gulf rivalry keeps reshaping alliances that indirectly affect Sudan’s wider environment. Food Stress Context: Hunger remains a major backdrop, with Sudan still facing acute food insecurity as prices keep climbing.

Ebola Emergency: WHO chief Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus is alarmed by the “scale and speed” of a rare Bundibugyo Ebola outbreak in eastern Congo, where authorities report at least 134 suspected deaths and 500+ suspected cases; the virus spread for weeks before being properly identified, and there are no approved vaccines or treatments for this strain. Sudan Economy: Sudan’s inflation jumped to 45.84% in April as the pound keeps sliding, with urban areas hitting 49.70% and rural 43.62%. Khartoum Recovery: In the capital, rubble is being cleared and some shops are reopening, but displaced families are returning cautiously and electricity shortages still darken many neighborhoods. Iraq Politics: Iraq formed a new government with a partial cabinet of 14 ministers, leaving key posts unresolved amid pressure over Iran-backed militia roles. Gulf Pressure on Infrastructure: Iran is threatening “protection fees” for Strait of Hormuz submarine internet cables, raising fears for critical digital infrastructure.

Ebola Emergency Escalates in Congo: The WHO has declared the DRC’s Bundibugyo-strain Ebola outbreak a Public Health Emergency of International Concern, with deaths now over 100 and cases reported in neighboring Uganda; officials say the alarm was raised weeks late because early tests missed the rarer strain, and limited local testing capacity and conflict-linked displacement are making containment harder. Sudan Inflation Hits New High: Sudan’s Central Bureau of Statistics reports annual inflation at 45.84% in April as the pound keeps weakening, with urban inflation jumping to 49.70% and rural to 43.62%. Sudan Connectivity Boost: Qatar Airways is adding a new Port Sudan route starting 2 July, plus more African frequencies. Regional Pressure on Trade Routes: Middle East tensions around Hormuz are also feeding fears of higher costs and medicine supply disruptions worldwide.

Sudan Economy: Sudan’s inflation jumped to 45.84% in April, up from 40.22% in March, as the pound keeps sliding and pushes up the cost of food, transport, fuel, and other essentials. Data Gaps: The Central Bureau of Statistics said insecurity in North Darfur (since Oct. 2025) blocked direct price collection, so April figures relied on estimated prices. Regional Shock: The wider crisis picture is getting worse as the WHO declared a Congo/DRC Ebola outbreak a public health emergency, raising fears of cross-border spread and straining already fragile health systems. Food Pressure: UN warnings continue that hunger in Sudan remains severe, with millions facing acute food insecurity as economic shocks ripple through markets.

Ebola Emergency: WHO has declared the Ebola outbreak in DR Congo and Uganda a Public Health Emergency of International Concern, warning the rare Bundibugyo strain has spread fast and lacks approved vaccines or treatments. Sudan Hunger Crisis: UN agencies say nearly 20 million people in Sudan face acute food insecurity, with millions already at emergency levels and famine still a looming risk if access and fighting worsen. Qatar Mining Returns: Qatar has restarted Sudan mining operations after war disruption, targeting an $800 million copper project and promising activity in safer regions. Humanitarian Pressure Points: Reports keep highlighting how conflict is strangling basic services and pushing displacement, while aid access remains fragile. Regional Politics Watch: Separate coverage notes Iraq’s new government program and renewed debates over security and sovereignty—signals that regional tensions continue to shape humanitarian conditions.

Eid Al-Adha Supply Push: Egypt’s PM Mostafa Madbouly reviewed food and market-stability plans with the Supply Minister, stressing steady commodity availability, tighter oversight against monopolies, and expanded livestock-market sales as the holiday nears. Sudan Hunger Warning: UN agencies say Sudan’s hunger crisis is worsening: nearly 19.5 million people face crisis-level acute food insecurity, with 135,000 in catastrophic conditions and 14 hotspots at risk of famine if access and fighting don’t improve. Iraq Cabinet Tensions: Iraq’s Sudani-led coalition bloc says the new cabinet was formed through “clear imbalances,” while KDP lawmakers consider legal action over a ministerial vote they say moved too fast. Public Health Alert: A rare Ebola strain linked to 87 deaths in northeastern DR Congo circulated undetected for weeks, prompting calls for stronger regional outbreak coverage. Regional Trade & Security: Egypt and Eritrea signed a maritime transport pact, with Cairo reiterating Red Sea security is for littoral states.

Sudan Hunger Alarm: UN agencies warn Sudan’s crisis is deepening fast: nearly 19.5 million people face acute food insecurity, with 135,000 in catastrophic conditions across 14 hotspots in Darfur and Kordofan, and risk of worse hunger during the June–September lean season. Humanitarian Pressure: The UN says aid is still far below need, with millions reached only partially as fighting and access limits keep squeezing families. War’s Daily Cost: Separate reporting highlights how basic services are collapsing—especially water, forcing long queues and unsafe supplies. Regional Ripples: Egypt and Eritrea signed a maritime transport pact while stressing Red Sea security should be handled by littoral states—an angle that matters for trade routes feeding the wider region. Elsewhere in the week: Iraq’s new PM Ali al-Zaidi took office after a confidence vote, while UN-linked reporting also flagged ongoing migration shifts around Libya.

Sudan Hunger Crisis: UN agencies warn Sudan’s war is pushing the country toward an even worse catastrophe: nearly 19.5 million people face crisis-level acute food insecurity, with 135,000 in catastrophic conditions across Darfur and Kordofan, and risk of famine if fighting and aid access worsen. Humanitarian Strain: The UN says humanitarian help is still far below needs, as the lean season approaches and displacement keeps rising. Regional Security Diplomacy: Egypt and Eritrea signed a maritime transport pact and said Red Sea security should be handled by littoral states—while Egypt also frames the Horn of Africa as tied to its own national security. Counterterror Move: US and Nigerian forces killed a senior Islamic State leader in northeastern Nigeria, with the US calling it part of sustained pressure on ISIS networks. Governance Watch: Iraq’s new PM Ali al-Zaidi vowed a “comprehensive” reform plan and a crackdown on corruption after parliament approved his government with key ministries still pending. Migration Signals: IOM reports irregular migrant flows from Libya fell 17% in Q1 2026, even as routes across Libya’s western borders with Tunisia and Algeria shift.

Sudan Hunger Emergency: UN agencies warn the war is pushing Sudan deeper into catastrophe: nearly 19.5 million people face acute food insecurity, with 135,000 in 14 hotspots at “catastrophic” risk of famine as the lean season approaches (June–September). Humanitarian Access: Aid delivery is falling short—partners targeted 4.8 million people per month but reached about 3.13 million in February—while insecurity, restrictions, and attacks on routes keep food and nutrition support out of reach. On-the-Ground Hardship: Reports describe daily life collapsing around water access, with families spending hours queuing and paying more as services fail. Regional Pressure: The AU and UN also renewed warnings that external interference is fueling conflicts across the Sahel and Sudan, complicating any path to stability. Other Week Signals: Separate coverage notes Sudan-linked sanctions evasion allegations involving Turkey, and ongoing war impacts in Blue Nile and Darfur.

Hunger Emergency: UN agencies warn Sudan’s crisis is sliding toward “an even greater tragedy” as nearly 19.5 million people face acute food insecurity, with 135,000 already in catastrophic conditions and 14 hotspots at risk of famine in the coming months. Rainy-Season Pressure: The warning ties worsening hunger to the lean season between June and September, as violence, displacement, and shrinking humanitarian access keep food out of reach. Human Cost: The conflict’s fourth year is also driving a severe nutrition emergency, with 825,000 children under five projected to suffer severe acute malnutrition in 2026. Aid Bottleneck: WFP and partners say operations can’t match needs due to insecurity, bureaucratic hurdles, and attacks on supply routes. Broader Context: AU and UN leaders also renewed calls against external interference fueling Africa’s conflicts, naming Sudan among the affected theatres.

Sudan Hunger Crisis Deepens: New IPC-linked reporting puts acute hunger at 19.5 million Sudanese (over 40% of the population), with 14 areas still at risk of famine and 135,000 children projected to face severe acute malnutrition—while drone warfare and attacks on civilian infrastructure keep worsening conditions. Frontline Pressure: Coverage also points to a shift in fighting tactics, with surging drone strikes and continued exchanges of territory between the Sudanese Armed Forces and RSF. Regional Security Backdrop: The week’s wider news is dominated by the Iran–U.S. standoff and Hormuz risk, with BRICS and others warning that disrupted maritime flows and energy shocks ripple into food and stability—an echo of what Sudan is already living. Diplomacy in Motion: Separate items show Sudan’s communications ministry meeting Qatar officials to push digital infrastructure ties, while AU and UN leaders warn that external interference is fueling Africa’s security crises.